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2 yr. ago

  • What you are describing is something different... that is "close enough" to Moore's Law for all but the most pedantic.

    The (I forget the proper economics term so) base price of RAM/Storage does indeed go down as new processes and economies of scale are developed. But the cost of a "laptop hard drive" remains pretty steady in the sense that a couple hundred MB was enough back in the day but you REALLY want at least 500 gigs now. The price per byte does indeed drop rapidly but the price per "drive" is far more stable (not fully stable due to inflation and how many people are buying them, but within spitting distance).

    Its why a good rule of thumb was to always just spend roughly the same on storage during an upgrade and that would result in faster technologies and larger capacity drives and so forth.

    That isn't what is happening with RAM in 2025. A much better comparison is GPUs because... it is the same problem. It is ridiculously high demand from businesses (often startups pouring dump trucks of VC money into their only hope... well, VC money or drug money in the case of miners but they matter a lot less these days) driving this. A quick search didn't yield an easy graph and I can't be bothered to go dig through Gamers Nexus's twelve videos on it, but the price of an "entry level" GPU has drastically changed in the past decade.

    But just for two-ish data points?

    • The GTX 980 and 970 had an MSRP (probably) of 550 and 330 USD, respectively, back in 2014
    • While there is some other bullshit involved, the RTX 5080 and 5070 have MSRPs of 1000 USD and 550 USD in 2025
    • Adjusting for inflation, the 980 and 970 would still only be about 753 and 451 USD in 2025 dollars
    • And let's not forget that basically no cards were sold at MSRP back in early 2025...

    The last point being what is, by all accounts, going to be the new normal. Barring outside impacts like... RAM going through the roof. Vendors will sell the cards for the ACTUAL MSRP rather than the inflated demand prices. And they will still be considerably more expensive as a result.

    All of which is to say... my current card is definitely good enough but having a hard time deciding if I do one "final" upgrade for the decade. But I am an AMD boi so those are at least "reasonable" in terms of price per performance.

    1. Prices rarely, if ever, go down in a meaningful degree. Stuff like this is partially necessity and partially a REALLY good excuse to see what the price ceiling actually is... and then turn that into the floor moving forward. Just look at gas prices
    2. The "AI Bubble" is likely to be on the same level as the Dotcom Bubble and the like. It is going to be brutal and a LOT of people are going to lose their jobs... and then much of the same tech will still dominate just with more realistic expectations. And that will still need large amounts of memory
    3. If the "AI Bubble" really is as bad as people seem to want it to be: A LOT of the vendors who make the parts you are buying RAM to use are going to be gutted. And then RAM production will drop drastically. Which will decrease supply and...
  • If you process digital photos, the edits get saved, so you can change them. It’s like a digital darkroom. I’d lose all that and be left with the unprocessed photos.

    And you export them when you are finished? So you have the unprocessed photos AND the finalized processed once? And you just have the ones that were in flight that are... in flight.

    But it sounds like you think this is worth using. If you think you understand the crack and understand the risks then go for it? Just understand that piracy of media and games is very different than piracy of productivity software and the risks and liability go up drastically with the latter.

  • I guess I am confused what what is actually going on.

    All your photos should be stored locally first. It looks like Capture One provides some form of cloud based access if you want to edit with a mobile device but you should still have the raw (possibly RAW format) files yourself?

    So the only thing you are "risking" is your most recent batch of edits that you haven't exported/finalized yet. So if you are actually a hobbyist... who cares?

    As for whether you should crack it:

    1. If you are relying on cloud storage, this is a deeply stupid idea. They will have logs of your data store being accessed and will have logs of you not having a valid license. A paralegal can pound out the lawsuit over lunch.
    2. If you are less a "hobbyist" and more running a business (what it sounds like): You are inherently playing with fire if you use pirated software for profit. Up to you but my general rule of thumb is that if you are making enough to do something professionally then you are making enough to buy a seat for the industry standard software (or to take the time to learn something jank but cheap)
    1. Poe's law?
    2. Endlessly sucking off cheney and mao in hell?
  • Yeah. The US definitely was horrifically evil long after other Global North countries had decided to chill but we were far from the only people running on the genocide and enslavement of the Global South.

    In a lot of ways, the US was late to colonialism and took it WAY too far and commit atrocities for it. The USSR/Stalin was late to (there is probably a better term for it but I can't remember it) peasant revolutions and took it WAY too far and commit atrocities for it... and then ended up being a global power that extended said reign of terror to anyone sharing a border with them.

  • Communism inherently couples both the economy and the government.

    In theory, capitalism can be decoupled since it mostly depends on laissez-faire governance. Communism inherently requires a planned economy and centralized control of such.

    There is theoretically nothing stopping said leaders of a communist regime from being elected through a democratic process. But much like democracies tend to favor capitalism and (lower case) libertarian ideals, communism tends to lend itself to dictatorships because... you have a centralized control of all aspects of society.

  • dot ml 'bout to crest the horizon like the riders of rohan.

  • And the keyword you neglected is

    they

    A community of like minded people, with sufficient supplies to make it through The First Winter, is potentially going to survive. A lone individual who figures "My dad survived out here in the 50s with just cardboard boxes for shoes when he was walking uphill, both ways, in the snow. The fuck you talking about 'climate change'?" is not.

    All of which gets back to the idea that a gun is going to help at all in those scenarios which, once again, gets back to how easy it is to actually sneak up on people (within 200 meters is an easy shot with a rifle. especially if someone has an optic) or the simple logistics of keeping watch while doing all of this Survival.

  • but the land we are talking about is the swamp lands of northern Ontario where my family were born and raised off of.

    Ah, well then. If it is your land then I am SURE that nobody else would think of trespassing on it After The Fall.

    Food will be cyclical so one has to know how to prepare for every period of the year

    Which requires a lot more supplies to survive The First Winter. Like I said.

    And it ALSO assumes nobody is going to come and fuck up your ecosystem during the summer/fall. Doesn't matter if THEY die that first winter, they already made sure you will too.

    All this doesn’t guarantee my survival in this scenario … it just means my chances would be higher than most other people.

    Higher doesn't mean successful.

    And I would very much say, without any more info, that you are vastly overestimating your own chances on your own (especially since it sounds like your parents had a community or at least each other and you only learned how as part of a community with them) AND underestimating all the (I don't know the Canadian equivalent. Probably Canadian Tire since that is the everything store?) REI-chic folk who have been learning this as a hobby and will probably also make it pretty far into that first winter before, hopefully, making their way back to "society" in an attempt to scavenge there with the rest of people.

  • it just means I’ll be more capable of surviving.

    "more capable" does not mean "capable"

    is to just pack up my truck, (...) Then abandon the truck

    Can you see the flaw with that plan?

    I doubt many or any people will end up anywhere near me in far northern Ontario.

    Like I mentioned in the other branch: That is basically the only way that people in Global North communities CAN "live off the wilderness". There are so few people trying that the heavily depopulated forests and lack of farmable land matter less. And even then, most of those people tend to rely on going into town "every so often" for supplies.

    But also? if we are actually in an apocalypse, you can bet that more than just you will think about those forests. And some of them will be as trained, if not moreso, than you and won't have abandoned all their supplies in a truck on the side of the road.

  • The guy you’re replying to is a Native American. He grew up living off the land and knows how to survive, no, thrive, without the supports of agriculture.

    Whoa boy, not gonna touch the mysticism and Other bullshit with a ten foot pole.

    But unless you already have a good chunk of farmland ready, you aren't going to survive the first winter. That is WHY communities (even the magical Native American ones) are so dependent on having ships and wagons FULL of supplies to survive that first winter because going from normal land to farmland is the better part of a year on its own.

    That ALSO ignores that most farms are not actually self sufficient due to a mix of needing to cycle crops to keep the land fertile as well as needing alternative sources of food and energy (often livestock). The Magical Native Americans largely depended on animals like Buffalo and Deer to make up the latter and... yeah. And modern day "live off the land" folk tend to rely pretty heavily on odd jobs (or money from their parents) because actually surviving off foraging and wild animals just isn't feasible outside of VERY few regions. And even those mostly only work because it is one weirdo that the park rangers tend to look the other way for.

    If OP has a community of like minded people? It is very doable. If OP is a lone gun nut hiding out in The Wilderness? Whatever level of fairly racist mystic fantasy you can think of won't help.

  • You're not going to survive on your own. At best you'll burn through your personal supplies REAL fast and have no way to really grow more in time. More likely you won't even survive the first cold night.

    Similarly, people also underestimate just how easy it is to sneak up on people. Unless you plan to have a 24/7 watch AND understand how to keep on lookout at night (it is deceptively hard because of how quickly your pupils will re-constrict with even a bit of light), you just need one halfway competent person with a rifle to end your life and take all your shit.

    Same with the idea that "my gun is going to deter people". How are they going to know who does and doesn't have a gun? The Bad People who salivate over this are going to assume EVERYONE is armed because guessing wrong means getting shot. Just play any Battle Royale/Extraction Shooter to see that in action. And unless you set up a giant perimeter to let everyone know where you are and that you are armed, it is going to be any other chance encounter as people likely follow the same thought process you did when you staked out your cabin in the woods. And if you DO have a giant perimeter... then they KNOW you are armed and probably have good stuff.

    Like almost all things gun nut: it is all about fantasizing about some REALLY horrible shit if you break it down.

  • Wooo. Was worried when the icon didn't have "gamepad + touchpads" but the "ai generated render for legal purposes" did.

    Time will tell on the ergonomics. But Valve know their shit and the Steam Deck is genuinely pleasant to use so I assume the size and angle should mean the d-pad and face buttons are still fully usable. Rather than the mess of a switch controller where only the tiniest of hands can use them without cramping.

    Currently leaning "three steam controllers, maybe a steam frame when we know more" since I already have an HTPC under my TV.

  • I would also like a fanny pack form factor (great for spare batteries too) but it's "just" a snapdragon. The actual chip is likely nothing compared to the displays and battery

    It definitely doesn't look glasses friendly but that is also a solved problem these days. Many of the online glasses companies directly sell them and they just push on rather than needing to buy the lenses and print a mount and then remove the old lenses and blah. My ex and I both wear glasses and we never had a problem swapping out on the facebook quest or whatever.

  • It is both. Standalone device but also designed to communicate with a PC via a USB dongle. So lower resource games "just work" and you take advantage of your PC (or Steam Machine...) for the heftier stuff. Which is as close to the "norm" as it gets in VR these days (although the facebooks connect over WLAN)

  • Yeah... be incredibly careful about shoving something with metal bristles into your charging port.

    Maybe once a year I get a bit of gunk in my port (hey-oh!). Samsung (presumably all usb c androids?) are generally really good about losing their shit and yelling at you to remove the cable immediately and clean your port.

    So when I get home? I just get one of my flossers (for teeth) that tend to have a cheap plastic toothpick attached to it. Works perfect, no liquids, and very minimal risk of damaging the port.

  • Every major tech company has a stake in chromium. Google could die tomorrow, and someone would bankroll it for their own selfish use.

    That really isn't how it works.

    Every major company has a stake in Chromium because the company that prints money out of the aether maintains it. Throwing a few bucks Chromium's way for publicity is MUCH cheaper than hiring qualified developers to build and maintain their own browsers. Chromium is so successful that Google outright funds a good chunk of Mozilla just so nobody can say they have a monopoly.

    Google no longer backing Chromium wouldn't be the immediate death of the project. But it would mean the end of professional support as the vast majority of downstream companies MIGHT hire some staff to work on their own internal forks. But they aren't going to be paying people to add new features (for good or for ill) to the upstream.

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